Be a Fish Bait Solar Fin: Real Odds, Cost & When It Lands

By Jim Liu. Last updated 2026-07-13

Solar Fin rolls at 0.5% per reroll - the rarer of Be a Fish Bait's two Legendary auras, averaging 1 in 200 tries. There is no shortcut, fish, or code that targets it specifically; the tracker below checks where your own streak actually sits against that curve.

TL;DR

0.5% chance per reroll, 1 in 200 average
460 rerolls for 90% confidence
Kraken is 1.6x more common; Leviathan is 2.5x rarer than Solar Fin
Every reroll is independent - no pity, no "due" streaks

How Solar Fin stacks up against Kraken and Leviathan

Solar Fin sits between the two auras players usually compare it to. It is clearly rarer than Kraken but nowhere near Leviathan's territory - a gap that matters more than the raw percentages suggest once you look at how many rerolls each one actually costs.

Aura	Weight	Per-roll odds	Average rerolls	90% confidence
Kraken	0.8	0.8%	1 in 125	287
Solar Fin	0.5	0.5%	1 in 200	460
Leviathan	0.2	0.2%	1 in 500	1,151

The jump from Solar Fin to Leviathan is the one that surprises people most: Leviathan needs roughly 2.5x more rerolls at 90% confidence than this one, despite it already feeling like a long grind on its own. Both Legendary auras are close enough in practice that most players treat landing either one as the same milestone - see the Either-Legendary comparator on the Kraken page if that is your actual goal.

Check your streak against the real distribution

Type in how many rerolls you have already spent chasing it without a hit, and how many more you are planning to spend. The tool below shows how unlucky your current run actually is and what your odds look like from here - not a fixed checkpoint, your own numbers against the real weighted table.

Rerolls spent chasing Solar Fin (no landing yet)Rerolls you plan to spend next

How unlucky is this streak?

67.0%

of Solar Fin grinds would already have it by reroll 80 - you are in the unluckiest 67.0% still waiting.

Odds in your next 100 rerolls

39.4%

Your current streak does not change this - every reroll is independent, so past misses do not owe you a future hit.

When Solar Fin actually lands, across every grind

Faded bars are the reroll range you have already passed through without a hit; solid bars are still ahead of you. The tallest bars sit early because a 0.5% chance compounds fastest at the start - by reroll 400, most grinds that were ever going to land it quickly already have.

Why the odds don't "catch up" on a long streak

The histogram in the tracker looks front-loaded because it is - with a flat 0.5% chance every try, a huge share of eventual hits land in the first couple hundred rerolls simply because that's when most of the attempts happen. By the time a streak reaches the far right of the chart, most of the grinds that were ever going to land it quickly already have, which is exactly why a long dry streak feels unusual even though nothing mathematically unusual is happening.

That is also why a 300-reroll streak does not mean reroll 301 is "owed" a hit. Rerolls have no memory - each one redraws from the same 0.5% chance regardless of what happened before it. A long streak only tells you which part of the distribution's tail you are currently standing in, not that the tail is about to end.

Mistakes that waste a Solar Fin chase

Treating a long streak as proof you are "due." The tracker's forward-looking number only depends on how many rerolls are left to spend, never on the streak already behind you.
Locking onto one specific Legendary by name when the real goal is just "a Legendary." Kraken lands 1.6x more often, and the Either-Legendary math on the Kraken page usually clears that bar faster.
Rerolling a kept Legendary away to try for the other one specifically. Both auras already beat everything below Legendary, so that trade risks a real downgrade if the next roll misses.
Stopping right before the typical landing zone. The odds table above shows 90% confidence sits at 460 rerolls - quitting well short of that after a bad run is often just leaving the grind unfinished, not a sign it is not working.

A real Legendary chase, not just the math

The numbers above are the theory - here is what an Extinct-rarity chase actually looks like in a live lobby, rerolls and all.

FAQ

How do you get Solar Fin in Be a Fish Bait?

By rerolling and landing it, same as every other aura - there is no fish, quest, or code that hands it out directly. It sits at about a 0.5% chance per reroll, drawn from the same weighted table Kraken and Leviathan come from.

What are the exact odds of Solar Fin?

Its weight is 0.5 out of the 100-point table, which is 0.5% per single reroll. That makes it the rarer of the two Legendary auras - Kraken rolls at 0.8%, about 1.6x more often.

How many rerolls does Solar Fin actually take?

200 on average, since a 0.5% per-try chance averages out to 1 in 200. Reaching 90% confidence takes closer to 460 rerolls - the tracker above shows exactly where a given streak sits against that curve.

If I've gone 200 rerolls without it, am I 'due' for Solar Fin?

No - that's the gambler's fallacy. Every reroll draws fresh from the full weighted table with no memory of past misses, so a 200-reroll dry streak doesn't raise the odds on reroll 201. What a long streak does mean is that you're in the unluckier tail of the distribution - the tracker's histogram shows how thin that tail actually is.

Is Solar Fin or Kraken the better target?

Neither is a downgrade - both are Legendary and both beat everything below them. Kraken is easier to land purely on odds, but if the goal is 'a Legendary' rather than one specific aura by name, the Either-Legendary math on the Kraken page usually gets there faster than committing to one aura alone.

Should I reroll away a landed Solar Fin to chase Kraken instead?

Generally no. Rerolling a kept Legendary resets you to zero with only a fresh shot at the swap, not a guarantee - and it is not a weaker aura than Kraken, just a rarer one to land. That trade only makes sense if owning Kraken specifically (not just any Legendary) is the actual goal.